The Hidden Cost of 2 Day Deliveries: Why Speedy Shipping Might Be Costing Retailers More

E-commerce and retailers always try to offer quicker delivery times. However, studies reveal that faster deliveries come with a downside

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In the fast-paced world of e-commerce, retailers are constantly striving to meet customer expectations by offering quicker delivery times. However, studies reveal that faster deliveries may come with an unintended downside: a significant increase in product returns. Researchers uncover a surprising relationship between delivery speed and return rates, particularly among new customers. These findings challenge the widely held assumption that faster deliveries always benefit both retailers and consumers.

The Need for Speed in Online Retail

It’s no secret that online shoppers love fast deliveries. Companies like Amazon have set the bar high, with Prime members expecting their packages in just a day or two. This trend has pushed retailers across the board to invest heavily in logistics, distribution centers, and delivery networks to keep up with customer demands.

But here’s the catch: while faster deliveries might make customers happy at first, they could be creating a hidden problem for retailers. According to a study analyzing over 1.8 million transactions from a global fashion retailer, faster deliveries are linked to higher return rates. And the effect is even stronger for new customers.

Why Faster Deliveries Lead to More Returns

At first glance, it seems counterintuitive. Shouldn’t faster deliveries make customers happier and less likely to return items? Not necessarily. The study suggests that when products arrive too quickly, customers don’t have enough time to mentally process their purchase decisions.

Here’s the psychology behind it:

  • Post-Purchase Cognitive Dissonance: After making a purchase, customers often experience a bit of buyer’s remorse. They might wonder, “Did I really need this?” or “Was this the best choice?” Over time, they rationalize their decision and convince themselves they made the right choice.
  • The Role of Time: When a product arrives quickly, customers haven’t had enough time to go through this mental process. The lack of time to rationalize their purchase increases the likelihood of returns.

In other words, faster deliveries might be great for customer satisfaction in the short term, but they leave customers with less time to “talk themselves into” keeping the product.

New Customers Are Especially at Risk

The study found that new customers are particularly sensitive to fast deliveries. For each day a product arrives earlier than expected, the likelihood of returns increases by 0.036% for new customers, compared to just 0.012% for returning customers.

Why is this? New customers are still forming their expectations about the retailer and the product. When their order arrives too quickly, it might catch them off guard, leaving them with doubts about their purchase. Returning customers, on the other hand, are more familiar with the brand and may feel more confident in their decisions, even if the product arrives early.

The Trade-Off: Speed vs. Returns

This research highlights a tricky trade-off for retailers. On one hand, faster deliveries can boost customer satisfaction and drive sales. On the other hand, they can lead to higher return rates, which are costly for retailers. Returns eat into profits through reverse logistics, restocking, and potential product damage.

So, what’s the solution? The study suggests a few strategies:

  1. Slow Down for New Customers: Retailers could consider offering slower delivery options for first-time buyers to give them more time to rationalize their purchases.
  2. Promote Sustainable Shipping: Offering a “green” delivery option that’s slower but more environmentally friendly could appeal to eco-conscious shoppers while reducing return rates.
  3. Help Customers Feel Good About Their Purchase: Sending follow-up emails with reasons to keep the product—like highlighting its benefits or offering styling tips—could help customers feel more confident in their decision.

What This Means for the Future of E-Commerce

This study challenges the assumption that faster is always better. While speed is important, retailers need to consider the full customer journey, including what happens after the purchase. Balancing delivery speed with strategies to reduce returns could be the key to long-term success in the competitive world of online retail.

Of course, there’s still more to explore. For example, how do delivery speeds affect purchase decisions in the first place? And do these findings apply to industries beyond fashion? Future research could shed more light on these questions.

The Bottom Line

Faster deliveries might seem like a no-brainer for keeping customers happy, but they come with a hidden cost: higher return rates. By understanding the psychology behind post-purchase behavior, retailers can find smarter ways to balance speed and customer satisfaction. Sometimes, slowing down might just be the faster way to success.

What do you think? Would you choose slower delivery if it meant fewer returns and a more sustainable shopping experience? Let us know in the comments!

Key Takeaways

  • Fast Deliveries Increase Returns: Products delivered faster than average are more likely to be returned, especially by new customers.
  • New Customers Are More Sensitive: First-time buyers are more likely to return fast-delivered items due to unmet expectations or lack of familiarity with the brand.
  • Higher-Priced Items Are Riskier: Expensive products are more likely to be returned, while discounted and popular items have lower return rates.
  • Footwear Has Higher Return Rates: Fit issues make footwear more likely to be returned compared to apparel or hardware.

By addressing these insights, retailers can refine their delivery strategies to improve customer satisfaction while minimizing the costs associated with returns.

Questions around 2025 shipping laws and how shipping logistics will impact your e-commerce business? Contact us now. We'll be happy to answer any of your questions.

Register for our webinar to gain in-depth insights into tariff laws and learn actionable steps to navigate these changes.
Our event will feature expert cross-border tax lawyers as guest speakers. >>

Discover how you can also:

  • Grow your brand 10x in revenue by optimizing your retail shipping logistics
  • Always stay perfectly in stock, reducing both overstock and out of stock
  • Improve your cashflow - reduce cash flow cycle from 3 months to just a few days
  • Improve margins
  • Ship to 55+ countries

Reference:

Journal of Retailing Volume 100, Issue 3 September 2024 Page 475-485

Simon Masuch a , Jan R. Landwehr b , Christoph M. Flath a , Frédéric Thiesse

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